Report
indicates green economy could generate 3.3m jobs across Africa by 2030
A new analysis suggests
that some of the major African countries may gain millions of jobs from a
greener economy.
According to research
conducted by the impact consultancy firm Shortlist and the development organization
FSD Africa, 3.3 million employment might be created on the continent by 2030.
According to
Forecasting Green Jobs in Africa, skilled or white-collar jobs that can
"spur the growth of the middle class in countries with high-growth
sectors" including manufacturing, construction, e-mobility, and renewable
energy will make up 60% of the jobs, most of which will be in the renewable
energy sector.
The report was based on
forecasts from five countries – the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia,
Kenya, Nigeria and South Africa – that the study says will see more than a
fifth of the jobs expected from the green transition over the next six years.
About 10% of the jobs
created will demand university degrees, 30% will be “specialised” work that
requires certification or vocational training, and 20% administrative.
Unskilled labour will be more stable, with opportunities for upward mobility,
the study predicts.
“This is the first
public report that takes seriously the notion that human capital and talent is
important as an input to green economic growth, and as a positive outcome – in
the form of millions of new, direct jobs,” says Paul Breloff, CEO of Shortlist.
About 70% of jobs will
be in the renewable energy sector, with solar power accounting for about 1.7
million of those jobs. Due to their respective hydropower potentials—Africa's
largest and second largest—the DRC and Ethiopia will witness employment growth
in that area. Hundreds of thousands of people should be employed in
agriculture, with over half of those positions in climate-smart technologies.
The researchers call on
policymakers, funders and educational institutions to invest in training a
workforce in green industries, saying it could “contribute to the formalisation
of African economies, and the inclusion of whole populations in stable systems
of remuneration, social security and taxation”.
“Policymakers and
funders and workforce developers need to step up to meet this near-term demand
with effective training, apprenticeships, and job/skill matching, in hopes of
achieving Africa’s green promise,” said Breloff.
Africa can
"leapfrog" into renewable energy, avoiding the carbon-intensive paths
taken by industrialized countries, thanks to its youthful labor force and
abundant renewable energy resources. However, the authors of the report contend
that doing so will necessitate "supportive policies, infrastructure, and
significant financial investments, estimated at over $100bn annually."
Due to investor views
of risk and worries about the renewable energy's commercial feasibility,
African nations have had difficulty attracting investments in this area. Only 3
percent of worldwide financing for clean energy goes to the continent. The International
Energy Agency (IEA) and the African Development Bank estimate that by 2030,
expenditures must more than quadruple to over £155 billion annually in order to
satisfy development targets related to climate change and energy access.
“You need a base level
of good skills in the country to get investors comfortable putting their money
into green investments – those jobs de-risk investments, investments flow into
or within the country. If finance flows, then projects get to be realised, and
will create even more new jobs,” said Kevin Munjal, director of development
impact at FSD Africa.
Some nations,
particularly those possessing oil and gas reserves, are resisting calls to
prioritize carbon reduction over domestic priorities, like the use of fossil
fuels for economic growth or domestic energy, given that 600 million Africans
lack access to electricity. Africa accounts for less than 4% of global carbon
emissions.
According to Munjal,
green growth offers vital potential for job creation and economic expansion
even though "there is need to think about a just transition."
"This presents a
huge chance to address the demographic crisis that is rapidly developing,"
Munjal stated. "Africa has the fastest-growing and youngest labor force,
but the young people need jobs."
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