Plant scientist Felicity Hayes checks on her crops inside one of eight tiny domed greenhouses set against the Welsh hills. The potted pigeon pea and papaya planted in spring are leafy and green, soon to bear fruit.
In
a neighbouring greenhouse, those same plants look sickly and stunted. The
pigeon pea is an aged yellow with pockmarked leaves; the papaya trees reach
only half as tall.
The
only difference between the two greenhouse atmospheres - ozone pollution.
Hayes,
who works at the UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (UKCEH), pumps ozone gas
into the greenhouses where African staple crops are being grown at varied
quantities. She is researching the potential effects of growing ozone pollution
on agricultural yields and food security for small-scale farmers in developing
nations.
Research
indicates that ozone, a gas created when sunlight, heat, and fossil fuel
emissions interact, can result in significant losses for farmers by prematurely
ageing crops before they reach their maximum production potential and reducing
photosynthesis, the process by which plants convert sunlight into food.
Ozone
stress also reduces plants' defences against pests.
A
2018 study in the journal Global Change Biology estimated global wheat losses
from ozone pollution totalled $24.2 billion annually from 2010 to 2012.
In
a January paper published in Nature Food, researchers tallied some $63 billion
in wheat, rice and maize losses annually within the last decade in East Asia.
Scientists
are particularly worried about Africa, which will see more vehicle traffic and
waste burning as the population is set to double by mid-century.
More
ozone pollution will result, which will be difficult for smallholder farmers,
who make up 60% of the population in sub-Saharan Africa.
At
the International Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics in
Zimbabwe, senior scientist Martin Moyo remarked, "There is a genuine
concern that ozone pollution will harm yields in the long run."
Across
the continent, he emphasised the "urgent need for more rural research to
estimate ozone concentrations."
The
UK-based non-profit Center for Agriculture and Bioscience International (CABI)
hired scientists to install ozone monitoring equipment around cocoa and maize
fields in Ghana, Zambia, and Kenya earlier this year.
In
contrast, a 2019 UNICEF report found that the majority of African nations
lacked consistent and reliable air pollution monitoring.
Among
those that do, few measure ozone.
RISING
OZONE
In
the stratosphere, ozone protects the Earth from the sun's ultraviolet
radiation. Closer to the planet's surface, it can harm plants and animals,
including humans.
While
air quality regulations have helped reduce ozone levels in the United States
and Europe, the trend is set to spike in the opposite direction for
fast-growing Africa and parts of Asia.
Climate
change could also speed things along.
In
areas of Africa with high fossil fuel emissions and frequent burning of forests
or grassland, new research suggests hotter temperatures could make the problem
worse as they can accelerate chemical reactions that create ozone.
While
research has found North American wheat is generally less impacted by ozone
than European and Asian counterparts, there have been fewer studies on African
versions of the same crops that over decades of cultivation have been made more
suitable to those environments.
Once
every two weeks in a Nairobi market, farmers from the countryside bring samples
of their ailing crops to a "plant doctor" in hopes of determining
what is affecting their yields.
"A
lot of (ozone) symptoms can be confused with mites or fungal damage," said
CABI entomologist Lena Durocher-Granger. "Farmers might keep applying
fertilizer or chemicals thinking it's a disease, but it's ozone
pollution."
Her
organization is working with UKCEH to help people identify signs of ozone
stress and recommend fixes, such as watering less on high ozone days. Watering
can leave leaf pores wide open, causing plants to take in even more ozone.
RESILIENT
CROPS
In
her Welsh greenhouses, Hayes was exposing crops in one dome to the lowest
amount - 30 parts per billion - similar to the environment of North Wales. In
the dome with the highest ozone level, plants were receiving more than triple
that amount, mimicking North Africa's polluted conditions.
Hayes
and her colleagues have found that certain African staples are more affected
than others.
In
a dome filled with a mid-level amount of ozone, North African wheat plants had
quickly turned from green to yellow within just a few months.
"You
get tiny thin grains that don't have all the good bits in them, a lot of husk
on the outside and not as much protein and nutritional value," Hayes said.
That
fits with research her team published last year on sub-Saharan plant cultivars,
which found that ozone pollution could be lowering sub-Saharan wheat yields by
as much as 13%.
Dry
beans could fare worse, with estimated yield losses of up to 21% in some areas,
according to the same study, published in Environmental Science and Pollution
Research.
"Beans
are a useful protein source in Africa, and subsistence farmers grow a lot of
it," said Katrina
Sharps,
a UKCEH spatial data analyst.
Sub-Saharan
millet, however, seemed more ozone tolerant. Yet Africa produced about half as
much millet as wheat in 2020.
"If
the soil and growing conditions are suitable," Sharps said,
"subsistence farmers may consider growing more millet."
Source:Reuters
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