In what would be a strategic move to find an amicable solution to the Tigray conflict, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has engaged in shuttle diplomacy, focusing on influential countries in East Africa, some of which are not stranger to wars.
Even
before his weekend trips to Uganda and Rwanda, Abiy Ahmed had visited Eritrea,
South Sudan and Turkey. It may have been the Asmara and Ankara trips that
ignited the controversy, with a number of accusations emerging.
According
to the sources, in Eritrea, Abi Ahmed requested military assistance in Tigray,
while reports indicated that the Eritrean forces began to return to Tigray. On
the other hand, Turkey was accused of aiding Ethiopia with drones, but there
was no response from Ankara.
Over
the weekend, Abiy Ahmed visited Uganda and Rwanda where he met Presidents
Yoweri Museveni and Paul Kagame respectively. Both Rwanda and Uganda have
previously faced conflicts that have killed thousands of people.
In
1994, Rwanda plunged into civil war in the wake of the genocide targeting the
Tutsi minority and the steppes of moderates. In northern Uganda, Museveni was
dealing with a rebellion that had lasted for more than three decades, led by
the Lord’s Resistance Army. [LRA].
Although
Abiy Ahmed did not elaborate on some of the major agendas on his trip to
Uganda, he said, “I express my appreciation to President Kaguta Museveni for
his warm welcome to Uganda and the important deliberations on various bilateral
and regional issues. I look forward to meeting again. So.”
Perhaps
it was Museveni who was a bit explicit, citing some of the main points of the
discussion. According to him, security matters in Ethiopia came to light in his
meetings with Abi Ahmed, adding that Addis Ababa should not recognize “ethnic
federalism” policies.
“Our
discussion focused on peace and security issues affecting Ethiopia today. Being
one of the oldest non-colonial countries in Africa, Ethiopia is the pride of the
continent. Africa’s problem is that we never discuss ideology, and we focus too
much on diplomacy,” he said.
“I
totally disagree with the politics that focuses on ethnic federalism,” Mr.
Museveni wrote on his social media platforms. “We must emphasize the cause of
unity and common interests because it is the only way we can thrive.”
Abi
Ahmed accuses the Tigray Defense Forces [TDF] to cause chaos in the country,
arguing that the faction, which had led the Tigray for a long time, was bent on
breaking the country. But the TDF in return accuses Ethiopia of executing
innocent civilians in the Tigray region.
In
Rwanda, the two teams did not disclose some of the major issues that came up in
the meetings. But both emphasized that the bilateral relations between Addis
Ababa and Kigali dominated the meeting, which lasted for several hours.
“President
Kagame is now hosting Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali for a dinner following the
discussion during which various topics of common interest including issues of
the two countries and the region as well as global current affairs were
discussed,” the Presidency of Rwanda. He pointed out.
“Thank
you to President Paul Kagame for the warm welcome you and my delegation
received. We had good discussions on bilateral and regional issues of mutual
importance,” Abiy Ahmed said in a tweet.
But
Rashid Abdi, an analyst on the Horn of Africa, suggests Abiy Ahmed’s diplomatic
shuttle trips may have focused on helping Ethiopia deal with the TDF. He adds
that such a move may backfire, noting that it is time for Addis Ababa to deal
with the TDF.
In
his analysis, Abdi says, “Prime Minister Abiy held talks with Museveni, Kagame
and Salva Kiir in an attempt to extract support from them for the war. The
message from East Africa to Ethiopia is: Stop the war, and engage the Tigray
government.”
Both
Rwanda and Uganda have participated in sending troops to neighboring countries
for peacekeeping missions. Kigali has troops in the Democratic Republic of the
Congo and Mozambique, while Uganda has troops in Somalia and South Sudan.
The
Tigray conflict erupted in November 2020 when the Turkish Defense Forces
attacked the Northern Command, leading to the deployment of the Ethiopian
National Defense Force. [ENDF] for the region. The NDF left in July after a
ceasefire was declared but the SDF regrouped and captured most of the Afar and
Amhara regions.
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